🗳️ Elections

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Live
Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Polymarket
7%
Vol $222
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$222
Liquidity
$42k

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Polymarket
7%
Market stats
24h volume$222
Liquidity$42k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen