Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tommy Paul (+1.5)
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 63%.
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Tommy Paul, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tommy Paul." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniil Medvedev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tommy Paul." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.