⚽ Sports
Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place

Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$796

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 4%.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 5th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 5th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place

Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
74%
Will Michael Olise finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8%
Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5%
Will Erling Haaland finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5%
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Willian Pacho finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Marc Cucurella finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will João Neves finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Nuno Mendes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Ferran Torres finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Lamine Yamal finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Vitinha finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Dayot Upamecano finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Julián Quiñones finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3%
Will William Saliba finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3%
Will Harry Kane finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2%
Will Declan Rice finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Luis Diaz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Sadio Mané finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Jude Bellingham finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Marquinhos finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$796
CategorySports
StatusOpen