🗳️ Elections

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$693
Liquidity
$42k

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
18%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$693
Liquidity$42k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen