⚽ Sports
UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)

Will Chris Duncan win in Round 3?

Live
Resolves Nov 15, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 8%. Polymarket has moved down 42pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Duncan defeats Drew Dober at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

All outcomes · UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategorySports
StatusOpen