⚽ Sports
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
Live
Resolves Nov 15, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 38%. Polymarket has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Macy Chiasson and Bia Mesquita at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
All outcomes · UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
68%
Will the fight end before Round 3?
57%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
54%
Will the fight be won by submission?
51%
O/U 2.5 Rounds
39%
Will the fight be won by decision?
38%
Will Bia Mesquita win in Round 1?
36%
Will the fight end before Round 2?
34%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
32%
Will Bia Mesquita win in Round 2?
32%
Fight to Go the Distance?
30%
Will Macy Chiasson win by KO or TKO?
30%
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
30%
Will Bia Mesquita win in Round 3?
28%
Will Bia Mesquita win by KO or TKO?
27%
Will Macy Chiasson win in Round 1?
27%
Will Macy Chiasson win in Round 2?
27%
Will Macy Chiasson win in Round 3?
27%
Resolution
Nov 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategorySports
StatusOpen