🗳️ Elections

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Live
Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$294
Liquidity
$54k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Market stats
24h volume$294
Liquidity$54k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen