⚽ Sports

M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Manuel Belda

Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$200
Liquidity
$461

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 83%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Manuel Belda in the M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Manuel Belda. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Belda' if Manuel Belda advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
83%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$200
Liquidity$461
CategorySports
StatusOpen