🗳️ Elections

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Live
Resolves Apr 23, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
62%
No
38%
No (38%)Yes (62%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
62%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Apr 23, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen