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How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Live
Resolves Aug 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
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Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026. For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if: • They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat • They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat • They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus) Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market. This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Aug 31, 2026
Market is open
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24h volume
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CategoryOther
StatusOpen
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?