🗳️ Elections

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen