🗳️ Elections

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen