🗳️ Elections

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen