🗳️ Elections
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 50%. Polymarket has moved up 33pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen