🎯 Other

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Polymarket
3%Check
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen