🗳️ Elections

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen