🎯 Other

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Polymarket
50%
Trade on Polymarket →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Will Trump resign before 2027?
Other
50%
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
Other
16%
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Other
23%
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Other
9%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
50%Trade
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen