⚽ Sports

Real American Freestyle: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Neiman Gracie

Live
Resolves Nov 15, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
84%
No
16%
No (16%)Yes (84%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$13

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 84%. Polymarket has moved up 22pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Tsarukyan" if Arman Tsarukyan is officially declared the winner of the match against Neiman Gracie at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Gracie" if Neiman Gracie is officially declared the winner. If the match ends level on points or in any form of draw, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of Real American Freestyle, including any tiebreaker criteria. If no official winner is designated under those rules, or if the match is ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." If either wrestler is replaced, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real American Freestyle (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
84%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$13
CategorySports
StatusOpen