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⚽ Sports
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Set Handicap: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)

Closed
Resolves Oct 23, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$20k
Liquidity
$19k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 51%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Arthur Gea in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina" if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins by 2 or more sets than Arthur Gea, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arthur Gea." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arthur Gea." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
51%
probability of YES
Polymarket
51%
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 23, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$20k
Liquidity$19k
CategorySports
StatusClosed