⚽ Sports
Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov

Set Handicap: Alibek Kachmazov (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$49k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 51%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Yuta Shimizu in the Guangzhou Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alibek Kachmazov" if Alibek Kachmazov wins by 2 or more sets than Yuta Shimizu, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Yuta Shimizu." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alibek Kachmazov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Yuta Shimizu." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.

All outcomes · Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
51%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 25, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$49k
CategorySports
StatusOpen