Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Matteo Arnaldi (+1.5)

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 100%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Matteo Arnaldi in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Taylor Fritz" if Taylor Fritz wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Taylor Fritz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.