⚽ Sports
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo

Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5)

Live
Resolves Oct 17, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
43%
No
57%
No (57%)Yes (43%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$38k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 43%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Adolfo Vallejo in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tommy Paul" if Tommy Paul wins by 2 or more sets than Adolfo Vallejo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Adolfo Vallejo." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tommy Paul can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Adolfo Vallejo." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

All outcomes · Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
43%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$38k
CategorySports
StatusOpen