⚽ Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz

Live
Resolves Oct 17, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$32k
Liquidity
$297k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 25%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$32k
Liquidity$297k
CategorySports
StatusOpen