🗳️ Elections
South Carolina Governor margin of victory

South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 16+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
47%
No
53%
No (53%)Yes (47%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$123

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 47%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Carolina by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · South Carolina Governor margin of victory

South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 1+ pts
93%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 4+ pts
83%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 7+ pts
74%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 10+ pts
68%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 13+ pts
56%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 19+ pts
27%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 22+ pts
24%
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Johnson, 2+ pts
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
47%
probability of YES
Kalshi
47%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$123
CategoryElections
StatusOpen