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Market Closed
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📊 Macro
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day? — At least 2.00%

Closed
Resolves Jul 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$343

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 29, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$343
CategoryMacro
StatusClosed