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Market Closed
This market is no longer active. Trading is unavailable.
📊 Macro
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day? — At least 2.25%

Closed
Resolves Jul 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$491

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 29, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$491
CategoryMacro
StatusClosed