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Market Closed
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📊 Macro
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day? — At least 3.00%

Closed
Resolves Jul 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$355

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jul 29, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$355
CategoryMacro
StatusClosed