🗳️ Elections

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 21%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen