🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate: Exact outcome

Texas Senate: Exact outcome — Paxton defeats Talarico

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$14k
Liquidity
$118k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 37%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Texas Senate: Exact outcome

Texas Senate: Exact outcome — Talarico defeats Paxton
63%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
37%
probability of YES
Kalshi
37%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14k
Liquidity$118k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen