🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate winner?

Texas Senate winner? — Ken Paxton

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
43%
No
57%
No (57%)Yes (43%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$74k
Liquidity
$5.1m

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 43%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Texas Senate winner?

Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico
59%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
43%
probability of YES
Kalshi
43%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$74k
Liquidity$5.1m
CategoryElections
StatusOpen