🎯 Other
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
80%
No
20%
No (20%)Yes (80%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$251
Liquidity
$251
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 80%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
92%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
70%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%
31%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%
11%
Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%
3%
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$251
Liquidity$251
CategoryOther
StatusOpen