🎯 Other
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Claude
Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
39%
No
61%
No (61%)Yes (39%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$10k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 39%. Kalshi has moved up 22pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — ChatGPT
62%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Qwen
4%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Grok
2%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Dola
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Kimi
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — GLM
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Gemini
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — MiniMax
1%
Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen