🎯 Other
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Gemini

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$175
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Gemini is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — ChatGPT
62%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Claude
38%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Qwen
4%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Grok
2%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Dola
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — GLM
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — Kimi
1%
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — MiniMax
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$175
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen