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🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 250

Closed
Resolves Sep 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$15k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed