🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 100
Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$485
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 10
96%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 20
77%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 25
27%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 30
6%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 35
6%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 40
5%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 45
3%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 50
3%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 75
2%
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$485
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen