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🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 100

Closed
Resolves Oct 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed