🗳️ Elections
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.2 to 38.4
Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$283
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 20%.
About this market
If the President's approval rating is between 38.2 and 38.4% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.5 to 38.7
30%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — Below 38.2
24%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.8 to 39.0
19%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.1 to 39.3
9%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.4 to 39.6
3%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — Above 39.9
2%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.7 to 39.9
2%
Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$283
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen