🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — Below 37.9%
Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 37.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 38.2%
42%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 38.1%
28%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 37.9%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 38.0%
11%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 38.3%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — Above 38.5%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 38.4%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026? — 38.5%
1%
Resolution
Oct 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen