🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — Below 38.1%
Live
Resolves Oct 9, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
89%
No
11%
No (11%)Yes (89%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$37k
Liquidity
$15k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 89%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.5%
10%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.2%
9%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.4%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.1%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.3%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — Above 38.7%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.6%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 38.7%
1%
Resolution
Oct 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$37k
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen