⚽ Sports
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Arvid Lindblad
Live
Resolves Oct 26, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.
About this market
If Arvid Lindblad set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Max Verstappen
44%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Andrea Kimi Antonelli
26%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Charles Leclerc
12%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — George Russell
10%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Lewis Hamilton
8%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Lando Norris
5%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Oliver Bearman
3%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Fernando Alonso
3%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Alexander Albon
3%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Oscar Piastri
3%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Liam Lawson
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Pierre Gasly
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Isack Hadjar
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Lance Stroll
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Sergio Perez
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Valtteri Bottas
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Esteban Ocon
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Nico Hulkenberg
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Franco Colapinto
1%
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Resolution
Oct 26, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategorySports
StatusOpen