🗳️ Elections

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$28k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$28k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen