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US crude oil exports in November

US crude oil exports in November — Above 4.5 million barrels/day

Live
Resolves Jan 29, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
19%
No
81%
No (81%)Yes (19%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$12

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 19%. Kalshi has moved down 20pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.5 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · US crude oil exports in November

US crude oil exports in November — Above 4.0 million barrels/day
99%
US crude oil exports in November — Above 6.0 million barrels/day
32%
US crude oil exports in November — Above 5.0 million barrels/day
30%
US crude oil exports in November — Above 5.5 million barrels/day
22%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
19%
probability of YES
Kalshi
19%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 29, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$12
CategoryOther
StatusOpen