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Market Closed
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📊 Macro
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026? — Above 2.5%

Closed
Resolves Jul 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$16k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%. Kalshi has moved down 24pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
7%
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 30, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$16k
CategoryMacro
StatusClosed