🎯 Other
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?

U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026? — in 2026

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen