Crypto

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
$99
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 7%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$99
Liquidity$10k
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen