US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026 — Above 0.5%

Closed

Resolves Jul 30, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (1%)Yes (99%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Closed

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.

About this market

If the percent change in U.S. nominal GDP in Q2 2026, rounded to the nearest one-hundredth of a percent according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’s Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series, is above 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

99%

probability of YES

Kalshi

99%

TG WA

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Resolution

Jul 30, 2026

closed

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$139

CategoryMacro

StatusClosed