📊 Macro
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.0%
Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$18k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 83%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.0%
99%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.5%
96%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.0%
91%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.5%
90%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.5%
78%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.0%
71%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.5%
64%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 4.0%
34%
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$18k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen