🗳️ Elections
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Uruguay

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
92%
No
8%
No (8%)Yes (92%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 92%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Peru
99%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Argentina
95%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Brazil
18%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Portugal
14%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Mexico
12%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Israel
12%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Ukraine
11%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — South Sudan
8%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Jordan
8%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — Philippines
6%
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026? — USA
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
92%
probability of YES
Kalshi
92%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen