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What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?

What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Firefly Video

Live
Resolves Nov 24, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4
Liquidity
$111

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 46%. Kalshi has moved up 25pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Shantanu Narayen says Firefly Video as part of Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?

What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Photoshop
71%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Generative AI / Gen AI
62%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Acrobat
52%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Premiere
48%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Adobe Express
47%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — GenStudio
36%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — OpenAI / ChatGPT
35%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Content Credential
32%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Topaz Labs
29%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Generative Fill
25%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — NVIDIA
21%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — 3D
19%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — YouTube
16%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Copyright
12%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Disney
10%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote? — Event does not qualify
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
46%
probability of YES
Kalshi
46%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 24, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4
Liquidity$111
CategoryOther
StatusOpen