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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 13, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 13, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.8

Closed
Resolves Oct 13, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 97%.

About this market

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 13, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 13, 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
97%
probability of YES
Kalshi
97%
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusClosed