🎯 Other
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — 2.5°C to 2.9°C
Live
Resolves Aug 15, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 51%. Kalshi has moved down 25pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — 2.0°C to 2.4°C
43%
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — At least 3.0°C
5%
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — 1.5°C to 1.9°C
1%
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — Below 1.5°C
1%
Resolution
Aug 15, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen